Advertisement

Fuzzy Math: New Calculator Seen as Overestimating Cardiovascular Risk — Physician’s First Watch

Medical News |
November 19, 2013

Fuzzy Math: New Calculator Seen as Overestimating Cardiovascular Risk

By Joe Elia

The calculator that accompanies new guidelines on lowering cardiovascular risk could mistakenly make "millions more people" candidates for statins, according to a New York Times story.

The root of the problem may be that the numbers used to calculate patients' risks come from studies done in the 1990s when, for instance, more people smoked. Researchers using data from other cohorts found that the calculator overestimated risk by between 75% and 150%. Those results are due to appear in the Lancet on Tuesday, according to the Times report.

Whatever the cause, cardiologist Steven Nissen told the Times: "We need a pause to further evaluate this approach before it is implemented on a widespread basis."

Reader Comments (4)

Lawrence W. RAYMOND Physician, Pulmonary Medicine, Carolinas HealthCare System & UNC Chapel Hill

Awaiting what Lancet has to add on next Tuesday, 11/26/13.

Roy, Dr Physician, Endocrinology, Hospital

very useful

paul helman,MD Physician, north Shore University health Systems

A more profound insight into the problems of the recent recommendations would be that they are based on the flawed cholesterol/atherogensis paradygm.

Garcia MD Physician, Family Medicine/General Practice, PR

Agree about new calculator results.

Your Comment

(will not be published)

Filtered HTML

  • Allowed HTML tags: <a> <em> <strong> <cite> <blockquote> <code> <ul> <ol> <li> <dl> <dt> <dd>
  • Web page addresses and e-mail addresses turn into links automatically.
  • Lines and paragraphs break automatically.

Plain text

  • No HTML tags allowed.
  • Web page addresses and e-mail addresses turn into links automatically.
  • Lines and paragraphs break automatically.
Do you have any conflict of interest to disclose?
CAPTCHA
This question is for testing whether you are a human visitor and to prevent automated spam submissions.
Image CAPTCHA
Enter the characters shown in the image.

Vertical Tabs

* Required

Reader comments are intended to encourage lively discussion of clinical topics with your peers in the medical community. We ask that you keep your remarks to a reasonable length, and we reserve the right to withhold publication of remarks that do not meet this standard.

PRIVACY: We will not use your email address, submitted for a comment, for any other purpose nor sell, rent, or share your e-mail address with any third parties. Please see our Privacy Policy.

Advertisement
Advertisement
Advertisement